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Evaluating Discrete Choice Prediction Models When the Evaluation Data is Corrupted : Analytic Results and Bias Corrections for the Area Under the ROC

Stein, Roger - 2015

results of such tests. In some cases, with appropriate knowledge of the corruption mechanism, the true values of the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014130913

Halbert White jr. Memorial JFEC Lecture : pitfalls and possibilities in predictive regression

Phillips, Peter C. B. - In: Journal of financial econometrics : official journal of … 13 (2015) 3, pp. 521-555

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011339279

Estimation bias and feasible conditional forecasts from the first-order moving average model

Bao, Yong; Zhang, Ru - In: Journal of time series econometrics 6 (2014) 1, pp. 63-80

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010225248

Forecasters' objectives and strategies

Marinovic, Iván; Ottaviani, Marco - 2013

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011507026

When 2 + 2 should be 5 : the summation fallacy in time prediction

Halkjelsvik, Torleif; Jørgensen, Magne - In: Journal of behavioral decision making 35 (2022) 3, pp. 1-13

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013279757

On the accuracy of estimators based on a binary classifier

Scholtus, Sander; Delden, Arnout van - 2020

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012174823

How well do economists forecast recessions?

An, Zidong; Jalles, João Tovar; Loungani, Prakash - 2018

We describe the evolution of forecasts in the run-up to recessions. The GDP forecasts cover 63 countries for the years 1992 to 2014. The main finding is that, while forecasters are generally aware that recession years will be different from other years, they miss the magnitude of the recession...