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This paper shows that a production network facilitates expectations-driven business cycles. Through input-output linkages, changes in expected demand can cause business-cycle fluctuations and endogenous movements in the Solow residual. When inputs must be purchased one period in advance,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012934270
We propose a granular framework that makes use of advanced statistical methods to approximate developments in economy-wide expected corporate earnings. In particular, we evaluate the dynamic network structure of stock returns in the United States as a proxy for the transmission of shocks through...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012316961
This paper investigates the role of industry-specific effects and structural properties of intersectoral customer-supplier relations on the corporate default prediction of individual firms. We focus on a large sample of US exchange-listed companies over the period 1997- 2015 and show that...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012929351
into an early-warning model to predict bank distress among European banks. We use multivariate extreme value theory to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013026199
I examine whether directors' superior access to information and resources through their board network improves the quality of firms' forecasting. Managers may benefit from well-connected directors (i.e., greater board centrality) as, even though managers have firm specific knowledge, they may...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012903008
We document robust industry return predictability through the lens of a competition network, connecting two industries that share a multi-industry market leader. Equity returns in an industry exhibit a delayed response to cross-industry effects due to investors' limited attention and constrained...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348634
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It is well established in the literature that customer retention is at least as important as customer acquisition, especially in the freemium-based virtual economy, in which individuals are connected by multi-relational social networks, such as the “friendships” and “guilds” (virtual...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012898400
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