Showing 1 - 10 of 8,927
Due to the high relevance of 1-day volatility forecasts and the increasing demand for zero-day-to-expiration (0DTE …) options on the S&P 500, the Cboe recently introduced the 1-Day Volatility Index (VIX1D). Compared to the longer …-term volatility indices of the VIX family, it is overall lower and more volatile, shows a weaker negative correlation with the S&P 500 …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014348712
for forecasting the volatility of both the TASI and the TIPISI in the context of petrochemical industries, as this model … outperforms the other models in model estimation and daily out-of-sample volatility forecasting of the two indices. This study is …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011960525
. This study uses the Diebold and Yilmaz index model to analyze and measure volatility spillovers and interconnectedness … among APEC stock markets. The objective is to identify major transmitters of volatility spillovers and assess the magnitude … of different crisis cycles. The results show that the US is the major contributor (69.54%) to volatility spillovers in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502815
This paper examines how the size of the rolling window, and the frequency used in moving average (MA) trading strategies, affects financial performance when risk is measured. We use the MA rule for market timing, that is, for when to buy stocks and when to shift to the risk-free rate. The...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011906234
empirical application aiming at comparing estimates and predictions of the volatility of financial asset returns. The Dynamic …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003376231
This article studies the risk forecasting properties of three realized volatility models for three Chinese individual … and account for a larger proportion in realized volatility. Further, I compare the Value-at-risk (VaR) forecasting … performances of three commonly used realized volatility models for the three Chinese stocks. Two-step VaR backtesting shows that a …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013131542
The volatility of equity and foreign exchange market is an important input to portfolio selection and to asset pricing … models. Many investment decisions and valuation of derivatives frequently rely on predictions of volatility. In this paper we … review the existing empirical literature in forecasting volatility of financial time series. Particularly, we decompose the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013122403
This study examines the statistical properties required to model the dynamics of both the returns and volatility series … adequately estimate long-memory dynamics in returns and volatility. The in-sample diagnostic tests as well as out … conditional volatility and strongly support the estimation of dynamic returns that allow for time-varying correlations. A …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013272684
This paper explores the asymmetric predictability of realized semivariances and the variation of signed jumps in China's stock market with high frequency data from 2006 to 2013. Our empirical results show that, (1) future volatilities are more (less) related to the historical realized...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013028050
This paper proposes a latent dynamic factor model for low- as well as high-dimensional realized covariance matrices of stock returns. The approach is based on the matrix logarithm and allows for flexible dynamic dependence patterns by combining common latent factors driven by HAR dynamics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341025