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Risk parity methods focused on volatility have gained traction in the last decade. A few extensions have been proposed …, including tail risk parity. The authors show that, at its limits, tail risk parity converges towards the risk parity portfolio … or the tangency portfolio. The authors also introduce a new risk parity measure called ‘outcome risk parity’ which allows …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014350546
fairly priced stocks. Thus, our results support the mispricing and arbitrage risk hypotheses that the positive (negative …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012856755
Taking the perspective of international asset allocation, this paper tests if predictive regressions conditional on time-series and cross-sectional information can improve forecasts of stock index returns. We use different current price-to-fundamental ratios as predictors and condition the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949474
Researchers and practitioners employ a variety of time-series processes to forecast betas, using either short-memory models or implicitly imposing infinite memory. We find that both approaches are inadequate: beta factors show consistent long-memory properties. For the vast majority of stocks,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012105362
This paper provides global evidence supporting the hypothesis that expected return models are enhanced by the inclusion of variables that describe the evolution of book-to-market-changes in book value, changes in price, and net share issues. This conclusion is supported using data representing...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012022063
risk-adjusted returns after transaction cost for the U.S. We combine predictions of expected returns at multiple horizons … profitability on the U.S. sample. Buy/hold spread portfolios have better risk-adjusted profitability in the U.S. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012426271
The estimation of expected security returns is one of the major tasks for the practical implementation of the Markowitz portfolio optimization. Against this background, in 1992 Black and Litterman developed an approach based on (theoretically established) expected equili-brium returns which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009487257
In this paper, we forecast industry returns out-of-sample using the cross-section of book-to-market ratios and investigate whether investors can exploit this predictability in portfolio allocation. Cash-flow and return forecasting regressions show that cross-industry book-to-market ratios...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012968901
positive risk prices are consistent with the Intertemporal Capital Asset Pricing Model (ICAPM) of Merton (1973), given how the … variables within the ICAPM, thus resurrecting a central role for macroeconomic risk in determining expected returns …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012418356
We propose a new asset-pricing framework in which all securities' signals are used to predict each individual return. While the literature focuses on each security's own- signal predictability, assuming an equal strength across securities, our framework is flexible and includes...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012271188