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This paper provides an empirical study on the predictability of implied volatility using dataset collected from the … implied volatility characteristics across various maturities. We applied both in and out-of-sample tests that include the … provides evidence of non-random movement in the implied volatility series and indicates predictability of implied volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013121151
This paper documents law of one price violations in equity volatility markets. While tightly linked by no …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012391498
evidence from the market for leveraged volatility (VIX) products. I find that the daily rebalancing imposes a substantial …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846421
closely and has certain other advantages. Second, we introduce a volatility index that provides a lower bound on the market …
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We study whether prices of traded options contain information about future extreme market events. Our option-implied conditional expectation of market loss due to tail events, or tail loss measure, predicts future market returns, magnitude, and probability of the market crashes, beyond and above...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010226098
The illiquidity of long-maturity options has made it difficult to study the term structures of option spanning portfolios. This paper proposes a new estimation and inference framework for these option-implied term structures that addresses long-maturity illiquidity. By building a sieve estimator...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010459730