We develop and evaluate quarterly out‐of‐sample individual and composite density forecasts for U.S. hog prices. Individual density forecasts are generated using time series models and the implied distributions of USDA and Iowa State University outlook forecasts. Composite density forecasts...

Price forecasts are critical to market participants when making production and marketing decisions and to policymakers who administer commodity programs and assess the market impact of domestic or international events. With the exceptionally volatile conditions experienced in the corn market...

Most previous studies reject the basic tenet of the Masters Hypothesis that the influx of financial index investments has pressured agricultural futures prices upwards substantially. However, the impact of index investment activities may be more complicated and nuanced than can be detected by...

Natural gas price forecasting is critical to many macroeconomic projection models and plays a vital role in state budget planning in energy-producing states. We examine the performances of various individual and composite forecasting models when predicting natural gas prices in the United...