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We investigate the potential for statistical forecasting of aggregate oil and gas investment on the Norwegian … random walk benchmark in an out-of-sample environment. Second, lags of investment growth, crude oil price growth and realized … volatility is found to be adequate predictors for the investment growth. Finally, there is a clear benefit from re-estimating the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011544319
We investigate the potential for statistical forecasting of aggregate oil and gas investment on the Norwegian … random walk benchmark in an out-of-sample environment. Second, lags of investment growth, crude oil price growth and realized … volatility is found to be adequate predictors for the investment growth. Finally, there is a clear benefit from re-estimating the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012979540
We investigate the potential for statistical forecasting of aggregate oil and gas investment on the Norwegian … random walk benchmark in an out-of-sample environment. Second, lags of investment growth, crude oil price growth and realized … volatility is found to be adequate predictors for the investment growth. Finally, there is a clear benefit from re-estimating the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012981050
Corporate investment decisions require managers to forecast expected future cash flows from potential investments … infer the quality of their corporate investment decisions. Relying on the intuition that managers draw on similar skills … when generating external earnings forecasts and internal payoff forecasts for their investment decisions, we predict that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013063410
Measuring the extent to which a firm is financially constrained is critical in assessing capital structure. Extant measures of financial constraints focus on macro firm characteristics such as age and size – variables highly correlated with other firm attributes. We parse 10-K disclosures...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013035014
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000446065
the literature, our empirical findings reveal a negative impact of firm-specific uncertainty on investment. However …, further results show that the investment response is asymmetric, depending on the size and direction of the forecast error …. The investment propensity declines significantly if the realized situation is worse than expected. However, firms do not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011445660
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013168189
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012609839
–2011 affect firms’ investment propensity. Understanding how forecast errors affect firm investment behaviour is key to mitigate … impact of absolute forecast errors on investment. Strikingly, asymmetries arise depending on the size and direction of the … forecast error. The investment propensity declines if the realised situation is worse than expected. However, firms do not …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012203080