Showing 1 - 10 of 20,150
The paper develops a novel realized matrix-exponential stochastic volatility model of multivariate returns and realized …. The volatility and co-volatility spillovers are examined via the news impact curves and the impulse response functions … from returns to volatility and co-volatility. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011536626
. This study uses the Diebold and Yilmaz index model to analyze and measure volatility spillovers and interconnectedness … among APEC stock markets. The objective is to identify major transmitters of volatility spillovers and assess the magnitude … of different crisis cycles. The results show that the US is the major contributor (69.54%) to volatility spillovers in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014502815
In this paper we review and generalize results on the derivation of tractable non-negativity (necessary and sufficient) conditions for N-dimensional asymmetric power GARCH/HEAVY models and MEM. We show that these non-negativity constraints are translated into simple matrix inequalities, which...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011759653
-day and intra-day volatility models by estimating the AR(1)-GARCH(1,1)-skT and the AR(1)-HAR-RV-skT frameworks, respectively … intra-day volatility model is not as appropriate as it was expected to be for each of the different asset classes; stock … performance of the inter-day and intra-day volatility models across various markets. The inter-day specification predicts and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012910113
This article identifies the best models for forecasting the volatility of daily exchange returns of developing …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013058579
formulate a volatility forecast of returns used as an input for determining some subjective views to be included in the Black …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998423
The study aimed at determining a set of superior generalized orthogonal-GARCH (GO-GARCH) models for forecasting time-varying conditional correlations and variances of five foreign exchange rates vis-à-vis the Nigerian Naira. Daily data covering the period 02/01/2009 to 19/03/2015 was used, and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011534717
We propose a methodology to include night volatility estimates in the day volatility modeling problem with high … the natural relationship between the realized measure and the conditional variance. This improves volatility modeling by … leverage effect and maintains a mathematical structure that facilitates volatility estimation. A class of bivariate models that …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012160811
In this paper, an attempt has been made to model the volatility of NIFTY index of National Stock Exchange (NSE) and … comprises 3736 data points for the analysis by using Box-Jenkins or ARIMA model. The volatility in the Indian stock market … suggested by Hannan-Rissanen. As per the analysis, ARIMA (1,0,1) model was found to be the best fit to forecast the volatility …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013001574
volatility. The study investigates whether the asymmetric effects of good and bad news on volatility is present and how … distributional assumptions affect the selection of GARCH models. Compared to two widely used historical volatility models, the simple … the forecasts of loan market volatility. The model comparison involves a regression-based approach, loss functions and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013220294