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Manipulating fiscal forecasts : evidence from the German States
Kauder, Björn; Potrafke, Niklas; Schinke, Christoph - 2017
We examine whether German state governments manipulated fiscal forecasts before elections. Our data set includes three fiscal measures over the period 1980-2014. The results do not show that electoral motives influenced fiscal forecasts in West German states. By contrast, East German state...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597259
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Manipulating fiscal forecasts : evidence from the German states
Kauder, Björn; Potrafke, Niklas; Schinke, Christoph - In: FinanzArchiv : European journal of public finance 73 (2017) 2, pp. 213-236
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011908039
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Conflict prediction using kernel density estimation
Tapsoba, Augustin - 2022
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012813801
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On forecasting conflict in the Sudan: 2009-2012
Bessler, David A.; Kibriya, Shahriar; Chen, Junyi; … - In: Journal of forecasting 35 (2016) 2, pp. 179-188
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011580259
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The promise and pitfalls of conflict prediction : evidence from Colombia and Indonesia
Blattman, Christopher; Dube, Oeindrila; Bazzi, Samuel; … - 2019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012177990
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Politics and exchange rate forecasts
Blomberg, Stephen Brock; Hess, Gregory D. - 1996
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10000959094
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On the political economy of national tax revenue forecasts : evidence from OECD countries
Jochimsen, Beate; Lehmann, Robert - 2015
, we test four hypotheses using panel estimation techniques. We find strong support for partisan politics. Left …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010502687
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Predicting the presidential election cycle in US stock prices : guinea pigs versus the pros
Gärtner, Manfred - In: Applied economics letters 17 (2010) 16/18, pp. 1759-1765
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009232147
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Predicting the presidential election cycle in US stock prices : Guinea pigs versus the pros
Gärtner, Manfred - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003723946
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Politics and exchange rate forecasts
Blomberg, Stephen Brock - In: Journal of international economics 43 (1997) 1, pp. 189-205
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001228978