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Bid and ask sizes at the top of the order book provide information on short-term price moves. Drawing from classical descriptions of the order book in terms of queues and order-arrival rates (Smith et al (2003)), we consider a diffusion model for the evolution of the best bid/ask queues. We...
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future price jump. In order to get rid of the intraday data seasonality, the analysis is based on two separated datasets …: morning dataset and afternoon dataset. Based on an analysis on forty largest French stocks of CAC40, we nd that trade sign and …
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