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I carry out an empirical analysis to recover stock analysts' loss functions from observations on forecasts, actual realizations and a proxy for the publicly observed part of the analyst's information set. The forecasts I use are analyst stock (buy/hold/sell) recommendations for two Blue Chip...
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Predictive AI is increasingly used to guide decisions on agents. I show that even a bias-neutral predictive AI can potentially amplify exogenous (human) bias in settings where the predictive AI represents a cost-adjusted precision gain to unbiased predictions, and the final judgments are made by...
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Das Coronavirus hat viele alte Gesetzmäßigkeiten in Frage gestellt. Das gilt auch für die Vermessung ökonomischer Aktivitäten. Verfahren aus der Hochzeit der Industrialisierung werden dem strukturellen Wandel zunächst zu einer Dienstleistungsgesellschaft, später zu einer Digitalwirtschaft...
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