In this study, we examine how information provision affects the degree of overconfidence using an online experiment …

Discrimination is a pervasive aspect of modern society and human relations. Statistical discrimination theory suggests …, whereas statistical discrimination theory implies that better predictions can be achieved by using all available information …

prices. Subjects in our experiment predict both random walk times series, as in the seminal work by Bloomfield & Hales (2002 … measures of predictability. However, as random walk theory predicts, relying on apparent patterns in past data does not improve …

prices. Subjects in our experiment predict both random walk times series, as in the seminal work by Bloomfied and Hales (2002 … measures of predictability. However, as random walk theory predicts, relying on apparent patterns in past data does not improve …

of an iid random variable. We set up a laboratory experiment where the participants act as forecasters predicting the … their central tendencies. As is standard in survey measures, the subjects in our experiment must report their best guess of … the experiment are based on a percentile while almost 60% are based on a numerical value. …