Showing 1 - 10 of 4,539
Using a modified DCC-MIDAS specification that allows the long-term correlation component to be a function of multiple … explanatory variables, we show that the stock-bond correlation in the US, the UK, Germany, France, and Italy is mainly driven by …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011745369
In an effort to address the lacuna in leading indicator studies of African economies and Nigeria in particular, this paper examines the causal relationships among stock market prices, real GDP and the index of industrial production in Nigeria, using quarterly data from 1984Q1 to 2008Q4. Granger...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011477855
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009784937
-GARCH model for volatility and DCC model for correlation to allow for inclusion of indexes that measure financial conditions. In … returns, especially during crises. Moreover, including the FCI in volatility and correlation modeling improves Value …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013007323
This paper proposes a latent dynamic factor model for low- as well as high-dimensional realized covariance matrices of stock returns. The approach is based on the matrix logarithm and allows for flexible dynamic dependence patterns by combining common latent factors driven by HAR dynamics and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010341025
Investors rely on the stock-bond correlation for a variety of tasks, such as forming optimal portfolios, designing … hedging strategies, and assessing risk. Most investors estimate the stock-bond correlation simply by extrapolating the … historical correlation of monthly returns and assume that this correlation best characterizes the correlation of future, annual …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012225162
It is well known that the correlation between financial series varies over time. Here, the forecasting performance of … different time-varying correlation models is compared for cross-country correlations of weekly G5 and daily European stock … market indices. In contrast to previous studies only the correlation and not the entire covariance matrix is forecasted and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008939359
In the recent years several commentators hinted at an increase of the correlation between equity and commodity prices … various measures of correlation. Next, we assess to what extent correlations between oil and equity prices can be exploited … for asset allocation. We develop a time-varying Bayesian Dynamic Conditional Correlation model for volatilities and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013081553
In our paper, we analyze the possibility of improving the prediction of stock market indicators by conducting a sentiment analysis of Twitter posts. We use a dictionary-based approach for sentiment analysis, which allows us to distinguish eight basic emotions in the tweets of users. We compare...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013034549
Existing research indicates that it is possible to forecast potential long-term returns in the S&P 500 for periods of more than 10 years using the cyclically adjusted price-to-earnings ratio (CAPE). This paper concludes that this relationship has also existed internationally in 17 MSCI Country...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012998360