One of the strongest leading indicators of economic activity is the number of people who file for unemployment benefits …: "... in each of the last six recessions, the recovery began within 8 weeks of the peak in new unemployment claims."In an …

policy mix of unemployment insurance agencies. We analyze unique data on three sources of information on the probability of … re-employment within 6 months (RE6), for the same individuals sampled from the inflow into unemployment. First, they were …

the same individuals sampled from the inflow into unemployment. First, they were asked for their perceived probability of …

In this work the precision and stability of the forecasts of Chile's unemployment rates are analyzed. Said models were … the signs of persistence that the unemployment indicator shows in its behavior; nevertheless, starting from the estimation … obtained, which empirically upholds the proposal of addressing the unemployment rate as a non stationary series. The evaluation …

We study how individual unemployment expectations are shaped and updated using a unique longitudinal survey data set … with subjective unemployment expectations. The survey data is linked with third-party reported administrative data on … unemployment realizations, such that we are able to examine how prediction errors lead individuals to update their unemployment …

the same individuals sampled from the inflow into unemployment. First, they were asked for their perceived probability of …