To capture the volatility in the global food commodity prices, we employed two competing models, the thin tailed the … food commodity prices characterized with the intermediate and short memory behavior, implying that the volatility of food …

Price forecasting systems are of considerable importance to food security management by governments' and non … models exhibit superior out-of-sample forecast accuracy using monthly food price data from Madagascar. These techniques also … permit cost reduction in food security operations by more precise estimation of the risk of hitting a critical price level …