-as-you-go systems are needed. We propose a probabilistic approach to forecast the numbers of pensioners in Germany up to 2040 …

for Germany is derived through a stochastic population renewal process using forecasts of mortality, fertility and …

Bestandserhaltungsniveau liegt, möglich, Stationarität der Bevölkerung durch Zuwanderung zu erreichen. Deutschland müßte unter den gemachten … population policy are described and analyzed using the population of Germany and of the world as examples. The long-term goal of … stationarity in the population by means of immigration. Under the assumptions made here, Germany would have to take in between 350 …

labor supply in Germany is declining by 11.7 percent, strongly driven by the even more distinct decline of the working …-age population and only partially cushioned by rising participation rates. Thereby, increasing immigration to Germany is highly … sind steigende Zuwanderungszahlen nach Deutschland zwar wahrscheinlich, ihr Nettoeffekt ist jedoch aufgrund gleichzeitig …