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Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013348668

Commentary on "Transparent modelling of influenza incidence" : on big data models for infectious disease forecasting

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Credit growth, the yield curve and financial crisis prediction : evidence from a machine learning approach

Bluwstein, Kristina; Buckmann, Marcus; Joseph, Andreas; … - 2021

We develop early warning models for financial crisis prediction by applying machine learning techniques to macrofinancial data for 17 countries over 1870–2016. Most nonlin-ear machine learning models outperform logistic regression in out-of-sample predictions and forecasting. We identify...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012705396

Credit growth, the yield curve and financial crisis prediction : evidence from a machine learning approach

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Fast and frugal forecasting

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The bias bias

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Does consistency predict accuracy of beliefs? : economists surveyed about PSA

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When should we use simple decision models? : a synthesis of various research strands

Katsikopoulos, Konstantinos V.; Durbach, Ian N.; … - In: Omega : the international journal of management science 81 (2018), pp. 17-25

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Credit Growth, the Yield Curve and Financial Crisis Prediction : Evidence from a Machine Learning Approach

Bluwstein, Kristina - 2020

We develop early warning models for financial crisis prediction using machine learning techniques on macrofinancial data for 17 countries over 1870–2016. Machine learning models mostly outperform logistic regression in out-of-sample predictions and forecasting. We identify economic drivers of...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012843879

Credit Growth, the Yield Curve and Financial Crisis Prediction : Evidence from a Machine Learning Approach

Bluwstein, Kristina; Buckmann, Marcus; Joseph, Andreas; … - 2021

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013313452