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This paper sheds light on the impact of global macroeconomic uncertainty on the euro area economy. We build on the … methodology proposed by Jurado et al. (2015) and estimate global as well as country-specific measures of economic uncertainty for … to a wide range of historical events generally associated with heightened uncertainty. In addition, following Pier and …
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This paper develops Bayesian econometric methods for posterior inference in non-parametric mixed frequency VARs using additive regression trees. We argue that regression tree models are ideally suited for macroeconomic nowcasting in the face of extreme observations, for instance those produced...
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This paper develops Bayesian econometric methods for posterior inference in non-parametric mixed frequency VARs using additive regression trees. We argue that regression tree models are ideally suited for macroeconomic nowcasting in the face of extreme observations, for instance those produced...
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