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We study a two-stage purchase contract with a demand forecast update. The purchase contract provides the buyer an … opportunity to adjust an initial commitment based on an updated demand forecast obtained at a later stage. An adjustment, if any … of demand distributions. We also discuss how these results can be applied to gain managerial insights that help in making …
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Suppliers of consumer packaged goods are facing an increasingly challenging situation as they work to fulfill orders from their retail partners' distribution facilities. Traditionally these suppliers have generated forecasts of a given retailer's orders using records of that retailer's past...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013025290
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for forecast dispersion (as a timely indicator of anticipated demand risk) explains demand uncertainty sublinearly whereas …In this paper, we compare two fundamentally different judgmental demand forecasting approaches used to estimate demand … and their corresponding demand distributions. In the first approach, parameters are obtained from a linear regression and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012991799
Despite its importance to OM, demand forecasting has been perceived as a “problem-solving” exercise; most empirical … under high demand volatility for procurement managers to make better inventory decisions. In response to requests for an … integrated forecasting methodology, we undertook an iterative process based on three guiding principles — data pooling, theory …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013223360
Demand Forecasting plays a crucial role in the management of operations, especially in the Fast-Fashion Industry, in … which demand can be very volatile and lumpy due to frequently changing customers tastes and the development of technology …. However, demand forecasting is essential for optimizing the inventory levels efficiently, assisting with predictions of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013213637
growth. In seeking to minimize supply-demand mismatch costs and satisfy borrowing constraints, management adopted a …’s systematic bias across selling seasons, and on two alternative product segmentation approaches. Demand distributions forecast …% after implementation of the new technique. Another benefit was the reduced financing risk of outsourcing production of its …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014127366
continuous future demands. We provide several conditions under which a discrete-demand forecast horizon is also a continuous-demand …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012766485
Focuses on a study which developed a framework for forecast and decision horizons. Definition of finite and infinite horizon stochastic optimization problems for a given forecast; Description of the general framework; Conditions for the existence of a solution horizon; Development of sufficient...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012750265