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forecasts for short dynamic panel data. We implement a nonparametric Bayesian approach to simultaneously identify coefficients … accurate estimates and score predictive gains over standard panel data estimators. With a data-driven group structure, the BGRE … standard panel data estimators …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012824627
This paper constructs individual-specific density forecasts for a panel of firms or households using a dynamic linear … model with common and heterogeneous coefficients and cross-sectional heteroskedasticity. The panel considered in this paper … develop a simulation-based posterior sampling algorithm specifically addressing the nonparametric density estimation of …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012840510
This paper constructs individual-specific density forecasts for a panel of firms or households using a dynamic linear … model with common and heterogeneous coefficients and cross-sectional heteroskedasticity. The panel considered in this paper … simulation-based posterior sampling algorithm specifically addressing the nonparametric density estimation of unobserved …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012956589
This paper constructs individual-specific density forecasts for a panel of firms or households using a dynamic linear … model with common and heterogeneous coefficients and cross-sectional heteroskedasticity. The panel considered in this paper … estimation of unobserved heterogeneous parameters. Monte Carlo simulations and an application to young firm dynamics demonstrate …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011932215
We use a dynamic panel Tobit model with heteroskedasticity to generate point, set, and density forecasts for a large … and residential real estate loans, comparing various versions of the panel Tobit model …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012846192
We use a dynamic panel Tobit model with heteroskedasticity to generate forecasts for a large cross‐section of short …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014306360
forecast evaluation; provides additional Monte Carlo simulation results on GARCH model estimation and VaR prediction; extends …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013138328
panel data. We construct point predictors using Tweedie's formula for the posterior mean of heterogeneous coefficients under … Carlo study. In an empirical application we use the predictor to forecast revenues for a large panel of bank holding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014034574
panel data. We construct point predictors using Tweedie's formula for the posterior mean of heterogeneous coeffcients under … Carlo study. In an empirical application we use the predictor to forecast revenues for a large panel of bank holding …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012964303
In a large sample of countries across different geographic regions and over a long period of time, we find limited country- and variable-specific effects of central bank transparency on forecast accuracy and their dispersion among a large set of professional forecasts of financial and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011790688