In this paper we study international linkages when forecasting unemployment rates in a sample of 24 OECD economies. We … propose a Global Unemployment Factor (GUF) and test its predictive ability considering in-sample and out-of-sample exercises … information to predict domestic unemployment rates, at least for these last seven countries …

successfully utilized for macroeconomic predictions. Specifically, we study unemployment rates and their interconnection with job …-related searches. We show that Google searches enhance nowcasting models of unemployment rates for the Czech Republic and Hungary …

unemployment flows to forecast the unemployment rate. We pay particular attention to flows-based approaches - the more reduced … unemployment flows are useful in forecasting the unemployment rate. We find that any approach that considers unemployment inflow …. Its usefulness is amplified at specific points in the business cycle when the unemployment rate is away from the longer …

predict unemployment in Spain. We include a new predictor for Spanish unemployment based on internet information provided by … queries and unemployment. Besides that, the inclusion of internet activity enhances model's prediction performance …

unemployment flows to forecast the unemployment rate. We pay particular attention to flows-based approaches – the more reduced … unemployment flows are useful in forecasting the unemployment rate. We find that any approach that considers unemployment inflow …. Its usefulness is amplified at specific points in the business cycle when the unemployment rate is away from the longer …

unemployment flows to forecast the unemployment rate. We pay particular attention to flows-based approaches — the more reduced … unemployment flows is useful in forecasting the unemployment rate. We find that any approach that leverages unemployment inflow and … usefulness is amplified at specific points in the business cycle when unemployment rate is away from the longer-run natural rate …

In this paper we evaluate whether the accuracy of Finnish unemployment rate forecasts can be improved by utilising the … information in the flows into and out of unemployment. We compare and contrast different methodologies for constructing the flows …

Unemployment is notoriously difficult to predict. In previous studies, once country and year fixed effects are added to … panel estimates, few variables predict changes in unemployment rates. Using panel data for 29 European countries collected … just over 10000 observations, we predict changes in the unemployment rate 12 months ahead. We do so using individuals …

In this work the precision and stability of the forecasts of Chile's unemployment rates are analyzed. Said models were … the signs of persistence that the unemployment indicator shows in its behavior; nevertheless, starting from the estimation … obtained, which empirically upholds the proposal of addressing the unemployment rate as a non stationary series. The evaluation …

state-level initial unemployment insurance claims, changes in the unemployment rate, and changes in private employment. The …