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In this article, the Universal Approximation Theorem of Artificial Neural Networks (ANNs) is applied to the SABR stochastic volatility model in order to construct highly efficient representations. Initially, the SABR approximation of Hagan et al. [2002] is considered, then a more accurate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012907596
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003603697
We address a number of comparative issues relating to the performance of failure prediction models for small, private firms. We use two models provided by vendors, a model developed by the National Bank of Belgium, and the Altman Z-score model to investigate model power, the extent of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011610380
This paper examines the initiation of analyst coverage of IPO firms in the presence of management forecasts. For a sample of 763 Australian IPOs from 1992 to 2004, we find firms that provide a management forecast in the prospectus are more likely to receive analyst coverage, after correcting for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013132283
Our study delves into analysts' motivation to issue concurrent cash flow forecasts in addition to earnings forecasts to achieve the analysts' specific strategic objectives. To investigate this motivation, we use economics based signaling theory and psychology based support theory to develop our...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013117913
In this paper, we examine the predictive ability of direct cash flow information under IFRS. Employing a combination of in- and out-of-sample cross sectional models, we provide the first empirical evidence on the predictive ability of direct cash flow information in an IFRS environment. Under...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013076074
Sell-side fundamental analyst reports are highly valued in the financial industry and include three main quantitative components: earnings forecasts, target prices, and buy/sell recommendations. An important question for investment managers is then, how accurate are the forecasts of fundamental...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012842120
Over the past 12 years, financial analysts across the world have been optimistically wrong with their 12-month earnings forecasts by 25.3%. This study may be the first of its kind to assess analyst earnings forecast accuracy at all listed companies across the globe, covering 70 countries. A...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012959862
We examine how the sudden drop in public information search capability caused by Google’s withdrawal from China affects Chinese analysts’ earnings forecasts. We observe, after Google’s withdrawal, a decline in analysts’ forecast accuracy for firms with foreign trade relative to those...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013405085
Prior research finds that sell-side analysts are generally willing partners with company management in facilitating the consistent meeting or beating of earnings expectations. We examine analysts who demonstrate the opposite behavior: issuing an unusually optimistic earnings forecast at the end...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013492681