This paper documents that the housing cycle, measured by the residential investment share, is a strong in-sample and out-of-sample predictor for the dollar up to twelve quarters. Housing construction is negatively associated with risk premia in equity and bonds, but positively with foreign...

The housing market is complex, multidimensional and depends on the variability of external factors and the amount of information available to the agents involved in the process. Despite the challenges associated to this theme, its relevance in the socioeconomic and territorial context, sustains...