This paper augments prior research on how tax-related information disclosures affect a company's market value, by investigating (1) whether voluntary management forecasts of the effective tax rate (ETR guidance) are considered by the addressees of such information and (2) whether tax-related...

We contribute to the research on the information content of earnings as it applies to the forecasting of economic activity across reporting models. We examine whether publicly available financial statement information is incrementally useful in forecasting confidentially reported taxable income....

Analysts regularly issue ETR forecasts that meaningfully deviate from managers’ voluntary annual effective tax rate (ETR) forecasts. I examine whether these deviations impact analyst forecast accuracy. Comparing analyst forecasts that deviate to analyst forecasts that reiterate managers’ ETR...

The Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) issues comment letters suggesting revisions to firms' tax disclosures with the goal of improving the informativeness of these disclosures. I examine if SEC-prompted revisions to firms' tax disclosures are associated with changes in the informativeness...

Kirk, Reppenhagen, and Tucker (2014) find that investors use individual analyst forecasts as additional earnings benchmarks. We investigate whether executives manage earnings to beat these individual benchmarks. Using year-end effective tax rate (ETR) manipulation as our setting, we find that...

Under fairly general assumptions, expected stock returns are a linear combination of two accounting fundamentals ― book to market and ROE. Empirical estimates based on this relation predict the cross section of out-of-sample returns in 26 of 29 international equity markets, with a highly...

Standard equity valuation approaches (i.e., DDM, RIM, and DCF model) are derived under the assumption of ideal conditions, such as infinite payoffs and clean surplus accounting. Because these conditions are hardly ever met, we extend the standard approaches, based on the fundamental principle of...

The study aims at simulating and forecasting a company's stock returns and prices by a fundamentalist analysis process based on a Vector Error Correction with Exogenous Variables (VECX) econometric model. To achieve this, we selected relevant fundamentalist indicators and specified a model...

We survey recent research in accounting anomalies and fundamental analysis. We use forecasting of future earnings and returns as our organizing framework and suggest a roadmap for research aiming to document the forecasting benefits of accounting information. We combine this with opinions from...

This paper presents results from an experiment and follow-up survey examining whether stock prices influence analysts' earnings forecasts. In our experiment, prices influence analysts' forecasts when uncertainty about future earnings is high, but not when uncertainty is low. Additional analyses...