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This study introduces the Ensemble Empirical Mode Decomposition (EEMD) technique to forecasting popular vote share. The technique is useful when using polling data, which is pertinent when none of the main candidates is the incumbent. Our main interest in this study is the short- and long-term...
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forecasters with economic interest (stakes) and in uence to publish biased forecasts prior to a referendum. We test our theory …
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forecasters with economic interest (stakes) and influence to publish biased forecasts prior to a referendum. We test our theory …
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