Showing 1 - 10 of 17,797
This study investigates whether the U.S. Federal Reserve's balance sheet can be used to predict macroeconomic outcomes. The Federal Reserve writes its own accounting standards, and I recast portions of the Federal Reserve's weekly balance sheet as if it more closely followed Generally Accepted...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012894458
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012052189
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014547257
National Bank of Rwanda (BNR) modernized monetary policy and transited to the price-based policy framework in January 2019. The Forecasting and Policy Analysis System (FPAS) is the cornerstone for the new forward-looking framework, which mobilizes and organizes resources and sets processes for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012487178
This paper applies the semi-structural model proposed by Bernanke and Blanchard (2023) to analyse wage growth, price inflation and inflation expectations in the euro area. It is part of a broader project coordinated by Bernanke and Blanchard to provide a unified framework for analysing and...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014480036
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003935435
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012425923
This paper takes stock of forecasting and policy analysis system capacity development (FPAS CD), drawing extensively on the experience and lessons learned from developing FPAS capacity in the central banks. By sharing the insights gained during FPAS CD delivery and outlining the typical tools...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013336175
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013435491
When generating conditional forecasts in dynamic models it is common to impose the conditions as restrictions on future structural shocks. However, these conditional forecasts often ignore that there may be uncertainty about the future development of the restricted variables. Our paper therefore...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009792830