Chapter 1 System Science -- Chapter 2 Decision-Making Methods -- Chapter 3 Prediction Methods -- Chapter 4 Evaluation Methods -- Chapter 5 Optimization Algorithm -- Chapter 6 System Reliability -- Chapter 7 Game Theory -- Chapter 8 Management Simulation -- Chapter 9 Complexity Science.-Chapter...

We introduce a novel quantitative methodology to detect real estate bubbles and forecast their critical end time, which we apply to the housing markets of China's major cities. Building on the Log-Periodic Power Law Singular (LPPLS) model of self-reinforcing feedback loops, we use the quantile...

This study examines how earnings predictability affects bank loan contracting. Using a sample of 8,626 bank loan contracts, we find that firms with more predictable earnings have more favorable loan terms, such as lower interest rates, longer maturities, and fewer covenants and collateral...

Because inventory systems are managed or heavily influenced by decision makers, understanding human behaviors in inventory management has become an important research topic. Based on newsvendor decisions, in the literature, it has been argued that a few methods (e.g., ex-post inventory error,...

We examine the effect of short selling on analyst forecast quality. Using the removal of the tick test from Regulation SHO, we find that increased ease of short selling improves analyst earnings forecast quality. Examining underlying mechanisms for the improvement, the evidence is consistent...