Trade in goods and services forecast is defined as the projected value of change in ownership of material resources and … countries and the world economy, using a combination of model-based analyses and expert judgement. The indicator comprises net …

This paper analyzes the role of uncertainty on both exchange rate expectations and forecast errors of professionals for … Bayesian VAR approach, we observe that effects on forecast errors of professionals turn out to be more significant compared to …

is evidence of nonlinearities in forecast smoothing. It is less pronounced in the tails of the distribution of individual … forecast revisions than in the central part of the distribution. …