monetary and credit aggregates are very often selected among the top predictors of inflation, with their predictive power … and credit variables in forecasting inflation, even if their information content is diluted in a much broader pool of …

monetary and credit aggregates are very often selected among the top predictors of inflation, with their predictive power … and credit variables in forecasting inflation, even if their information content is diluted in a much broader pool of …

typical feature being the unstable movement patterns of the main socioeconomic development indicators. Inflation hit its …

We explore the ability of core inflation to predict headline CPI annual inflation for a sample of 8 developing … sample of developing countries are currently implementing or given steps toward the future implementation of inflation … targeting regimes, which are heavily based on long run inflation forecasts …

predicting euro area inflation. Excess liquidity is measured as the difference between the actual money stock and its fundamental … inflation, if the forecasting equations are based on measures of excess liquidity. …

Central bank surveys frequently elicit households’ probabilistic beliefs about future inflation. However, most … household surveys use a response scale that is tailored towards low-inflation regimes. Using data from a randomized controlled … trial included in the Bundesbank Online Panel Households, we show (i) that keeping the original scale in high-inflation …

Central bank surveys frequently elicit households' probabilistic beliefs about future inflation. The responses provide … only a coarse picture of inflation beliefs further away from zero. Using data from the Bundesbank household panel, we show … that the current high-inflation environment induces respondents to allocate considerable probability to the rightmost open …