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Estimating and forecasting volatility of financial markets using asymmetric GARCH models : an application on Turkish financial markets
Gökbulut, Rasim lker; Pekkaya, Mehmet - In: International journal of economics and finance 6 (2014) 4, pp. 23-35
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010347758
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Volatility forecasting when the noise variance Is time-varying
Chaker, Selma; Meddahi, Nour - 2013
This paper explores the volatility forecasting implications of a model in which the friction in high-frequency prices … is related to the true underlying volatility. The contribution of this paper is to propose a framework under which the … realized variance may improve volatility forecasting if the noise variance is related to the true return volatility. The …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010225492
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Bad news bears : effects of expected market volatility on daily tracking error of leveraged bull and bear ETFs
Holzhauer, Hunter Matthew; Lu, Xing; MacLeod, Robert W.; … - In: Managerial finance 39 (2013) 12, pp. 1169-1187
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010197618
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Predicting intraday cryptocurrency returns - A sparse signals approach
Lalwani, Vaibhav; Meshram, Vedprakash - In: The journal of prediction markets 15 (2021) 1, pp. 3-9
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012803496
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Measuring market expectations
Baumeister, Christiane - 2021
Asset prices are a valuable source of information about financial market participants.expectations about key macroeconomic variables. However, the presence of time-varying risk premia requires an adjustment of market prices to obtain the market’s rational assessment of future price and policy...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012622575
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Cross-sectional return dispersion and volatility prediction
Fei, Tianlun; Liu, Xiaoquan; Wen, Conghua - In: Pacific-Basin finance journal 58 (2019), pp. 1-19
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012231130
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Fundamentals unknown : momentum, mean-reversion and price-to-earnings trading in an artificial stock market
Schasfoort, Joeri; Stockermans, Christopher - 2017
The use of fundamentalist traders in the stock market models is problematic since fundamental values in the real world are unknown. Yet, in the literature to date, fundamentalists are often required to replicate key stylized facts. The authors present an agent-based model of the stock market in...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011723700
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Do asset price drops foreshadow recessions?
Bluedorn, John Christopher; Decressin, Jörg; Terrones, … - In: International journal of forecasting 32 (2016) 2, pp. 518-526
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011597180
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The role of news-based implied volatility among US financial markets
Su, Zhi; Fang, Tong; Yin, Libo - In: Economics letters 157 (2017), pp. 24-27
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011847294
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Do managers mimic rivals' forecast revisions? : evidence from Japan
Yamada, Akihiro - In: International journal of economics and accounting : IJEA 10 (2021) 2, pp. 116-143
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012597790