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The forecast uncertainty was one of the causes of the recent economic crisis and its evaluation became more necessary nowadays. The aim of this paper is to build and assess different types of forecast intervals for quarterly inflation rate in Romania. The Bootstrap Bias-corrected-accelerated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012012468
Many researchers are interested in making predictions for macroeconomic variables, but few of them studied the accuracy of their forecasts. The problem is essential, especially in crisis periods, because from many forecasts made for the same indicator only one or few are the most accurate. In...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010732566
The forecast uncertainty was one of the causes of the recent economic crisis and its evaluation became more necessary nowadays. The aim of this paper is to build and assess different types of forecast intervals for quarterly inflation rate in Romania. The Bootstrap Bias-corrected-accelerated...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011985113
The aggregates, like GDP, can be forecasted using two different strategies, the criterion of predictions’ accuracy being used to select the best strategy. The aim of this paper is to find out what is the best strategy to be used in predicting GDP in Romania. In this study, for data series of...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010625541