I develop a multi-period trading model to analyze how a fundamental trader adjusts his trading strategies and information production decisions to the existence of high frequency trading (HFT). I show that these decisions differ strongly depending on the type of information that the HFT can...

We study the multifaceted effects and persistence of trade policy shocks on financial markets in a structural vector autoregression. The model is identified via event day heteroskedasticity. We find that restrictive US trade policy shocks affect US and international stock prices heterogeneously,...

We study the multifaceted effects and persistence of trade policy shocks on financial markets in a structural vector autoregression. The model is identified via event day heteroskedasticity. We find that restrictive US trade policy shocks affect US and international stock prices heterogeneously,...

We study the multifaceted effects of trade policy shocks on financial markets using a structural vector autoregression identified via event day heteroskedasticity. We find that restrictive US trade policy shocks affect US and international stock prices heterogeneously, but generally negatively....

Multilateral trade rounds have stressed converting non tariff barriers to simple tariffs. The WTO Agreement on Agriculture includes the "price-gap" method that was prominent in the Uruguay Round. Many agricultural products, once considered commodities, are in fact differentiated products with...

We estimate the macroeconomic effects of import tariffs and trade policy uncertainty in the United States, combining theory-consistent and narrative sign restrictions on Bayesian SVARs. We find mostly adverse consequences of protectionism. Tariff shocks are more important than trade policy...

Economic growth in selected emerging economies: Brazil, Russia, India, China (BRIC) and South Africa The paper investigates on theoretical and empirical grounds the main determinants of economic growth for Brazil, Russia, India, China (BRIC) and South Africa. The empirical results from the...

The adaptive markets hypothesis posits that trading strategies evolve as traders adapt their behavior to changing circumstances. This paper studies the evolution of trading strategies for a hypothetical trader who chooses portfolios from forex technical rules in major and emerging markets, the...

The adaptive markets hypothesis posits that trading strategies evolve as traders adapt their behavior to changing circumstances. This paper studies the evolution of trading strategies for a hypothetical trader who chooses portfolios from foreign exchange (forex) technical rules in major and...

In this article we present a systematic multi-strategy approach to trading foreign exchange futures for a managed futures portfolio. Our central finding is that there is more alpha to be derived from combining different indicators compared to hand engineering each indicator. We show that...