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Using newspapers for tracking the business cycle : a comparative study for Germany and Switzerland
Iselin, David; Siliverstovs, Boriss - In: Applied economics 48 (2016) 10/12, pp. 1103-1118
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011432925
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Forecasting US recessions with macro factors
Fossati, Sebastian - In: Applied economics 47 (2015) 52/54, pp. 5726-5738
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011348871
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Forecasting US recessions with macro factors
Fossati, Sebastian - 2013
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009731422
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Yield curve as a predictor of recessions : evidence from panel data
Ozturk, Huseyin; Pereira, Luis Felipe V. N. - In: Emerging markets finance & trade : a journal of the … 49 (2013), pp. 194-212
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010353722
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The R-word index for Switzerland
Iselin, David; Siliverstovs, Boriss - In: Applied economics letters 20 (2013) 10/12, pp. 1032-1035
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010195949
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Predicting US recessions with stock market illiquidity
Chen, Shiu-sheng; Chou, Yu-Hsi; Yen, Chia-Yi - In: The B.E. journal of macroeconomics 16 (2016) 1, pp. 93-123
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011508569
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Recession forecasting with time-varying predictors
Hwang, Youngjin - In: Korea and the world economy 16 (2015) 3, pp. 379-417
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450873
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Tracking weekly state-level economic conditions
Baumeister, Christiane; Leiva-León, Danilo; Sims, Eric R. - 2021
In this paper, we develop a novel dataset of weekly economic conditions indices for the 50 U.S. states going back to 1987 based on mixed-frequency dynamic factor models with weekly, monthly, and quarterly variables that cover multiple dimensions of state economies. We show that there is...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012584223
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The economics of walking about and predicting unemployment
Blanchflower, David G.; Bryson, Alex - 2021
metrics were able to predict the Great Recession and the economic slowdown in Europe just prior to the COVID pandemic. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012610842
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Lagged country returns and international stock return predictability during business cycle recession periods
Wen, Yi-Chieh; Li, Bin - In: Applied economics 52 (2020) 46, pp. 5005-5019
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012306532