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survey data that is sampled at a frequency higher than annual and that includes only fixed event forecasts, e.g. expectation … mainly reflects the time varying forecast horizon. We use data from the Survey of Professional Forecasters, which reports … to 0:94) with the true dispersion. -- Survey data ; dispersion ; disagreement ; fixed event forecasts …
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Consumer confidence indicators(CCI) serve as a veritable tool for providing useful information to policy makers, forecasters and the general public. Recent studies indicated the possibility of a slowdown in output, resulting from the pessimism of consumers in their expectations about the general...
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