This paper investigates the performance of early warning systems in real-time, using forecasts of indicators that were available at the moment predictions are to be made. The study analyzes currency crises in eight Latin American and Central and Eastern European countries, distinguishing an...

This paper investigates the performance of early warning systems in real-time, using forecasts of indicators that were available at the moment predictions are to be made. The study analyzes currency crises in eight Latin American and Central and Eastern European countries, distinguishing an...

The Global Financial Crisis (GFC) has affected many countries including Mexico. The exchange rate depreciated sharply in the fall of 2008. This chapter investigates the experience of Mexico with currency crises since 1990. We estimate an Early Warning System, consisting of an ordered logit model...