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A linear and lagged relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate, ?(t)=A0UE(t-t0)+A1dLF … and 2004. The relationship is tested for cointegration. All three variables involved in the relationship are proved to be … integrated of order one. Two methods of cointegration testing are used. First is the Engle-Granger approach based on the unit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014053159
the naive one by a factor of 2 to 3. The relationships for inflation were successfully tested for cointegration. We have … and lagged relationships between the rates of inflation, unemployment, and change in labour force. For France, several … relationships were estimated eight years ago. The change rate of labour force was used as a driving force of inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013075493
the naive one by a factor of 2 to 3. The relationships for inflation were successfully tested for cointegration. We have … and lagged relationships between the rates of inflation, unemployment, and change in labour force. For France, several … relationships were estimated eight years ago. The change rate of labour force was used as a driving force of inflation and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011109998
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009231710
Many macroeconometric models depict situations where the shares of the major demand aggregates in output are stable over time. The joint dynamic behavior of the considered demand aggregate and output may thus be approximated by a cointegrated vector autoregression. However, the shares of many...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009728178
This paper empirically compares sticky-price and sticky-information Phillips curves considering inflation dynamics in … moments of inflation. Under baseline calibrations, the two models perform similarly in almost all countries. Under estimated … unconditional moments of inflation dynamics better while sticky information is more successful in matching co-movement of inflation …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009124276
A linear and lagged relationship between inflation, unemployment and labor force change rate, π(t)=A0UE(t-t0)+A1dLF … and 2004. The relationship is tested for cointegration. All three variables involved in the relationship are proved to be … integrated of order one. Two methods of cointegration testing are used. First is the Engle-Granger approach based on the unit …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005835964
In this paper, we present an updated version of the reference model used at Banque de France to forecast inflation …: MAPI (Model for Analysis and Projection of Inflation). While the conceptual framework of the model remains very close to …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013294796
. Two periods are distinguished: the period of inflation rise from 1970 to 1981, which coincides with an important squeeze …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013319774
In this paper, we present the new model developed at Banque de France to forecast the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) and its components in France up to twelve quarters during the Eurosystem projection exercises. The model is a partial equilibrium model and is used for forecast...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012949209