We study domestic and international drivers of long-term interest rates using newly compiled financial market data for Switzerland starting in 1852. We use a time-varying parameter vector autoregressive model to estimate long-term trends in nominal interest rates, exchange rate growth, and...

We use futures instead of forward rates to study the complete maturity spectrum of the forward premium puzzle from two days to six months. At short maturities the slope coefficient is positive, but these turn negative as the maturity increases to the monthly level. Futures data allow us to...

We use futures instead of forward rates to study the complete maturity spectrum of the forward premium puzzle from two days to six months. At short maturities the slope coefficient is positive, but these turn negative as the maturity increases to the monthly level. Futures data allow us to...

The failure of uncovered interest parity can be ascribed to the existence of a risk premium. The size of this risk premium may shrink to zero over sufficiently small intervals of time. In contrast, because no interest is paid on intradaily positions and interest is instead paid discretely at the...

Despite the centrality of the theoretical relationship between real exchange rates and real interest rates differential in open economy macroeconomics, its empirical evidence, particularly when cointegration methods are used, is rather mixed. The study uses IFS, IMF data for India and US for the...

A Theoretical Framework -- Specifications and Assumptions -- Underlying Equilibrium Growth Paths -- Variations in Employment -- Some Important Implications -- Exchange Rate Overshooting -- Exchange Rate Determination -- Issues Regarding Exchange Rate Determination -- Time Series Properties of...