derived from the business surveys of the three major economies within the European Monetary Union (France, Germany, and Italy … in France and Germany; as far as Italy is concerned, forecasts are produced using a model that in the recent past proved … business surveys data and to aggregate the nation-wide forecast into the Euro-zone forecast, we propose using an approach based …

countries. France, Germany, and Italy have large pay-as-you-go pension systems and vulnerable labor markets. At the same time …

main contribution is that we model the Euro area countries separately. In this version we consider Germany and France … zunächst drei Länder modelliert, nämlich die USA und aus dem Euro-Währungsgebiet Deutschland und Frankreich, die zusammen etwa … Zeitpunkten werden präsentiert und diskutiert. -- Mehrländermodell ; Prognose ; Bayesianische Ökonometrie …