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Seit vergangenem Herbst häufen sich Negativmeldungen über die Wirtschaft Frankreichs. Guido Zimmermann, Landesbank Baden-Württemberg, Stuttgart, sieht den Hauptgrund für den im internationalen Vergleich sehr starken Einbruch der Exporte Frankreichs in einem Strukturbruch in der Fähigkeit,...
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This paper considers the education of the labour force based on an analysis of trends in and the relationships between job polarization and skills mismatch. Both job polarization and skills mismatch have become topics of increasing interest, but relationships between the two have been relatively...
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This paper explores empirically the link between French equities returns Value-at-Risk (VaR) and the state of financial markets cycle. The econometric analysis is based on a simple vector autoregression setup. Using quarterly data from 1970Q4 to 2008Q3, it turns out that the k-year VaR of French...
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The expansion of Western European production accelerated in the first half of 1997. Exports were the main engine, driven by a devaluation of European currencies and strong growth abroad. Domestic demand also picked up somewhat led by investment in machinery and equipment. Inflation remained at...
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