Showing 1 - 10 of 1,047
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013345666
derivatives markets. These hedging instruments include natural gas futures and options, as well as Exchange Traded Fund (ETF … spot, futures and ETF markets using the multivariate conditional volatility diagonal BEKK model. The data used include … natural gas spot and futures returns data from two major international natural gas derivatives markets, namely NYMEX (USA) and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011490999
oil derivatives, specifically futures, and stock index returns in UK and USA. The paper will also analyze the Chinese …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011520514
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012415993
For forecasting volatility of futures returns, the paper proposes an indirect method based on the relationship between … futures and the underlying asset for the returns and time-varying volatility. For volatility forecasting, the paper considers …. Empirical results for Nikkei 225 futures indicate that the adjusted R2 supports the appropriateness of the indirect method, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011590424
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015050468
This paper is the first to discuss the design of futures hedging strategies in European natural gas markets (NBP, TTF … values of the basis (futures price minus spot price). This fact remain true for short (a week) and long (one, three and six …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011307255
Notwithstanding a resurgence in research on out-of-sample forecasts of the price of oil in recent years, there is one important approach to forecasting the real price of oil which has not been studied systematically to date. This approach is based on the premise that demand for crude oil derives...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326672
This paper documents the existence of a significant forecast error on crude oil futures. We interpret it as a risk … considered business cycle indicator. An out-of-the-sample prediction exercise reveals that futures adjusted to take into account … this time-varying component produce significantly better forecasts than those of unadjusted futures, of futures adjusted …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011605045
For forecasting volatility of futures returns, the paper proposes an indirect method based on the relationship between … futures and the underlying asset for the returns and time-varying volatility. For volatility forecasting, the paper considers …. Empirical results for Nikkei 225 futures indicate that the adjusted R2 supports the appropriateness of the indirect method, and …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011662515