Retail trading in complex (multi-leg) options has grown significantly following the introduction of zero commissions by several brokerage firms. We show that the returns on these complex orders are negative on average (-16.4% over three-day holding periods), and that the higher the complexity,...

Suppose Rational Expectations Equilibriums (REE) that are inferred at time t materialize at time t+1. This study provides formal theoretical and empirical evidence that performance effects of skewness preference simultaneously can be evidence for demonstrations of full rationality (expertise),...

Taking a firm's competitive position into account benefits investors who are better at evaluating this qualitative information. I find that fund managers who overweight companies with market power outperform their peers. Placebo exercises and an exogenous shock to product market competition...

The team totals and point spread betting lines jointly predict team scores in college football games. The gambling market's score predictions are shown to be biased due to censoring at zero points. This presents arbitrage opportunities for gamblers who place wagers on the team totals line in...

If betting markets are efficient, then the expected loss rate on all bets on a game can be calculated from the quoted odds. Guides to sports betting tell bettors how to do this calculation of the predicted average loss rate. We show that if bookmakers set higher profit margins for bets with...

We compare the properties of betting market odds set in two distinct markets for a large sample of European soccer matches. We confirm inefficiencies in the traditional market for bets on a home win, an away win or a draw as found in previous studies such as Angelini and De Angelis (2019), in...

An open question in market microstructure is whether 'informed' traders have an advantage due to access to private, inside, information; or due to a superior ability to process public information. In this paper we attempt to answer this question with data from a sports betting exchange taken...

I document that momentum trading strategies are significantly profitable in an intragame NBA sports betting market. The momentum profits appear to be the result of market underreaction to news, but I find no evidence that the underreaction is driven by the psychological biases that form the...

Previous research in finance has found evidences of both overreaction and underreaction to unanticipated events, but has yet to explain why investors overreact to certain events while underreacting to others. In this paper, we hypothesize that while market participants generally underreact to...

Examining NFL betting contracts at Tradesports.com, we find mispricing consistent with the disposition effect, where investors are more likely to close out profitable positions than losing positions. Prices are too low when teams are ahead and too high when teams are behind. Returns following...