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Rationalität und Qualität von Wirtschaftsprognosen
Scheier, Johannes - 2014
Wirtschaftsprognosen sollen die Unsicherheit bezüglich der zukünftigen wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung mindern und Planungsprozesse von Regierungen und Unternehmen unterstützen. Empirische Studien bescheinigen ihnen jedoch in aller Regel ein unbefriedigendes Qualitätsniveau. Auf der Suche nach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305813
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The micro-macro policygama under uncertainty and risk attitude
Gander, James P. - In: Journal of economics & business 59 (2007) 1, pp. 1-13
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003395806
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Prospective et théorie des jeux
Schmidt, Christian - In: Futuribles : l'anticipation au service de l'action ; … (1999), pp. 47-68
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001403683
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The decriptive and predictive adequacy of theories of decision making under uncertainty/ambiguity
Hey, John Denis; Lotito, Gianna; Maffioletti, Anna - In: Experiments in economics : decision making and markets, (pp. 189-219). 2018
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011971556
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The reproducible properties of correct forecasts
Sandroni, Alvaro - In: International journal of game theory : official journal … 32 (2003) 1, pp. 151-159
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001905355
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All that i have to say has already crossed your mind
Koppl, Roger; Rosser, John Barkley - In: Metroeconomica : international review of economics 53 (2002) 4, pp. 339-360
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001704344
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Sharp identification regions in models with convex moment predictions
Beresteanu, Arie; Molčanov, Il'ja S.; Molinari, Francesca - In: Econometrica : journal of the Econometric Society, an … 79 (2011) 6, pp. 1785-1821
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009425123
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The descriptive and predictive adequacy of theories of decision making under uncertainty/ambiguity
Hey, John Denis; Lotito, Gianna; Maffioletti, Anna - In: Journal of risk and uncertainty : JRU 41 (2010) 2, pp. 81-111
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008903072
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Sharp identification regions in models with convex moment predictions
Beresteanu, Arie; Molchanov, Ilya; Molinari, Francesca - 2010 - Current draft: August 30, 2010
We provide a tractable characterization of the sharp identification region of the parameters ø in a broad class of incomplete econometric models. Models in this class have set valued predictions that yield a convex set of conditional or unconditional moments for the observable model variables....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008660616
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Results from a simple prediction contest
Blackwell, Calvin - In: The journal of prediction markets 5 (2011) 1, pp. 12-25
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009299861