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Rationalität und Qualität von Wirtschaftsprognosen
Scheier, Johannes - 2014
Wirtschaftsprognosen sollen die Unsicherheit bezüglich der zukünftigen wirtschaftlichen Entwicklung mindern und Planungsprozesse von Regierungen und Unternehmen unterstützen. Empirische Studien bescheinigen ihnen jedoch in aller Regel ein unbefriedigendes Qualitätsniveau. Auf der Suche nach...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011305813
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The predictive power of luck : luck and risk-taking in a repeated risky investment game
Holden, Stein Terje; Tione, Sarah; Katengeza, Samson; … - 2022
Can luck predict risk-taking behavior in games of chance? Economists have not widely studied this issue although … good and bad luck outcomes in a simple repeated risky investment game affect risk-taking behavior in the following rounds … demonstrate a strong impact of luck on risk-taking behavior that lasts not only to the next round but also into another two follow …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013417508
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Sluggish inflation expectations : a markov chain analysis
Kocherlakota, Narayana Rao - 2016
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011450016
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Why are professional forecasters biased? : Agency versus behavioral explanations
Ehrbeck, Tilman - In: The quarterly journal of economics 111 (1996) 1, pp. 21-40
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10001201494
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The descriptive and predictive adequacy of theories of decision making under uncertainty/ambiguity
Hey, John Denis (contributor); Lotito, Gianna (contributor);  … - 2008
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003741145
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Prediction games (extended abstract)
Ronen, Amir; Wahrmann, Lyron - In: Internet and network economics : first international …, (pp. 129-140). 2005
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003276480
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How to improve the applicability of game theory : three essays
Wichardt, Philipp Christoph - 2006
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003425762
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The descriptive and predictive adequacy of theories of decision making under uncertainty/ambiguity
Hey, John Denis; Lotito, Gianna; Maffioletti, Anna - In: Journal of risk and uncertainty : JRU 41 (2010) 2, pp. 81-111
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008903072
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Sharp identification regions in models with convex moment predictions
Beresteanu, Arie; Molčanov, Il'ja S.; Molinari, Francesca - In: Econometrica : journal of the Econometric Society, an … 79 (2011) 6, pp. 1785-1821
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009425123