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depart from the sure thing principle and model the phenomenon of ambiguity and ambiguity aversion. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014025442
This paper extends Savage's subjective approach to probability and utility from decision problems under exogenous uncertainty to choice in strategic environments. Interactive uncertainty is modeled both explicitly, using hierarchies of preference relations, the analogue of beliefs hierarchies,...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011700273
ambiguity. In each round of a finite rep- etition of a finite stage-game, in addition to the classic pure and mixed actions … their intentions. We find that adding an infinitesimal level of ambiguity can be enough to approximate collusive payoffs via …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011891363
. For both ambiguity averse and neutral subjects within this population, one significant channel is behavioral in nature … (anchoring). For ambiguity averse subjects, another channel of similar magnitude is hedging motivated by the desire to reduce … ambiguity. This channel is absent in the case of ambiguity neutral subjects. …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012387552
Beauchêne, Li, and Li (2019) show that ambiguous persuasion leads to new interim equilibria with higher ex ante value for the Sender compared to the standard Bayesian persuasion. However, in their equilibrium the strategy of the Receiver is in general not ex ante optimal. This note, defines...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012009891
We present a non-technical account of ambiguity in strategic games and show how it may be applied to economics and … social sciences. Optimistic and pessimistic responses to ambiguity are formally modelled. We show that pessimism has the … ambiguity on peace-making are examined. It is shown that ambiguity may select equilibria in coordination games with multiple …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010371082
We provide an axiomatic approach to a belief formation process in an informational environment characterized by limited, heterogenous and differently precise information. For a list of previously observed cases an agent needs to express her belief by assigning probabilities to possible outcomes....
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010356678
I experimentally examine whether feedback about others' choices provides an anchor for decision-making under ambiguity … relative ambiguity attitude (compared to the peer's) significantly matters for shifts in individual attitudes, and that … dynamics considerably differ between gain and loss domains. For gains, learning to be comparably ambiguity averse increases the …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010364762
We provide an evolutionary foundation to evidence that in some situations humans maintain optimistic or pessimistic attitudes towards uncertainty and are ignorant to relevant aspects of the environment. Players in strategic games face Knightian uncertainty about opponents' actions and maximize...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010366542
individuals use this ambiguity strategically as a moral wiggle room to act less generously without feeling guilty. Such excuse … excuse-driven behavior is comparable under ambiguity and under risk. Individuals exploit any type of uncertainty as an excuse …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012152068