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Strategic Coordination in Forecasting. An Experimental Study

Bizer, Kilian - 2014

Reputational herding has been considered as a driving force behind economic and financial forecasts clustered around consensus values. Strategic coordination can consequently explain poor performances of prediction markets as resulting from the distinct incentives that forecasters face. While...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013056991

Politische Ökonomie internationaler Währungskrisen : ein dreidimensionales Frühwarnsystem

Angermayer, Björn - 2006 - 1. Aufl.

Erkenntnis einer umfangreichen Retrospektive zur Theorie der Währungskrisen. Mit Hilfe der Computer-Software SPSS 12.0.1 und …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003440555

Reverse engineering financial markets with majority and minority games using genetic algorithms

Wiesinger, Judith; Sornette, Didier; Satinover, Jeffrey - 2010

Using virtual stock markets with artificial interacting software investors, aka agent-based models (ABMs), we present a method to reverse engineer real-world financial time series. We model financial markets as made of a large number of interacting boundedly rational agents. By optimizing the...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10003973139

Scenario forecast model of long term trends in rural labor transfer based on evolutionary games

Liu, Dehai; Li, Hongyi; Wang, Weiguo; Zhou, Chuang - In: Journal of evolutionary economics : JEE 25 (2015) 3, pp. 649-670

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011374093

Predictable and predictive emotions : explaining cheap signals and trust re-extension

Schniter, Eric; Sheremeta, Roman M. - 2014

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010381499

Concentration and unpredictability of forecasts in artificial investment games

Chen, Xiu; Hong, Fuhai; Zhao, Xiaojian - 2016

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011536030

Strategic coordination in forecasting : an experimental study

Meub, Lukas; Proeger, Till; Bizer, Kilian; Spiwoks, Markus - In: Finance research letters 13 (2015), pp. 155-162

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011552469

Gaming : prospective for forecasting

Brewer, Garry D. - 1974

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10002303499

Forecast Dispersion in Finite-Player Forecasting Games

Kim, Jin Yeub - 2017

We study forecast dispersion in a finite-player forecasting game modeled as an aggregate game with payoff externalities … forecast from the average forecast; and with a finite number of agents, the agents can strategically in influence that average … find that when each agent prefers to be close to the average forecast, the presence of strategic manipulation of the …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012972639

Dynamic network formation with foresighted agents

Song, Yangbo; Schaar, Mihaela van der - In: International journal of game theory : official journal … 49 (2020) 2, pp. 345-384

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10012591581

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