We estimate the reaction of the hotel and restaurant industries to the monetary policy actions of the Federal Reserve in the US. We find that the portfolios of hotel industry stocks react strongly to the unexpected changes in the Federal Funds Target Rate. Specifically, for a hypothetical...

During the last financial crisis, what should the Federal Reserve (Fed) have done after credit dried up, creating a liquidity crisis even for borrowers with sterling credit and good collateral? The conventional answer is that during a market-wide liquidity crisis the central bank should act as a...

In response to the financial crisis that began in 2007, the Federal Reserve ('Fed') initiated a series of ad hoc deals (for Bear Stearns and AIG) and new lending facilities that benefited a variety of other nonbank financial intermediaries. Through these deals and programs the Fed became a...

This paper investigates whether the degree and the nature of economic and monetary policy interdependence between the United States and the euro area have changed with the advent of EMU. Using real-time data, it addresses this issue from the perspective of financial markets by analysing the...

The paper shows that US monetary policy has been an important determinant of global equity markets. Analysing 50 equity markets worldwide, we find that returns fall on average around 3.8% in response to a 100 basis point tightening of US monetary policy, ranging from a zero response in some to a...

The paper shows that there is a substantial degree of heterogeneity in forecast accuracy among Fed watchers. Based on a novel database for 268 professional forecasters since 1999, the average forecast error of FOMC decisions varies 5 to 10 basis points between the best and worst-performers...

The paper shows that monetary policy shocks exert a substantial effect on the size and composition of capital flows and the trade balance for the United States, with a 100 basis point easing raising net capital inflows and lowering the trade balance by 1% of GDP, and explaining about 20-25% of...