The river and the billiard ball : history, innovation, and the future / Peter Schwartz -- The future of population / Joel E. Cohen -- The future of energy from the perspective of the social sciences / Clark C. Abt -- Modeling climate change impacts and their related uncertainties / Stephen H....

This paper represents the first empirical study to investigate the effects of interest rate spread shocks before and after the implementation of LSAPs (Federal Reserve large-scale asset purchases) on energy consumption for different sectors. The US monthly data (2002–2015) for interest rate...

This paper uses two of the IMF's structural macroeconomic models to estimate the potential global impact of the boom in unconventional oil and natural gas in the United States. The results suggest that the impact on the level of U.S. real GDP over roughly the next decade could be significant,...

The recent Great Recession has renewed interest in the role of financial markets and credit in the economy, as well as in the boundaries of monetary, macroprudential and fiscal policies that impact macroeconomic developments and may influence business cycles. In the first two chapters of this...

In this study, U.S. manufacturing firms' profitability measures including profit margins and returns on equity are examined over the 1971-2005 period. We find strong support for the “insulation hypothesis” as our results show that the profitability ratios and the valuation multiples of U.S....