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break-even inflation rates when market volatility is high. Our model’s ability to be updated weekly makes it suitable for … real-time monetary policy analysis. -- Affine term structure models ; inflation expectations ; stochastic volatility …
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matches their volatility as a function of maturity. …
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We develop an empirical model of exchange rate returns, applied separately to samples of developed (DM) and developing (EM) economies' currencies against the dollar. Monetary policy stance of the global central banks, measured via a natural-language-based approach, has a large effect on exchange...
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