This study analyzes the magnitude of the US monetary policy spillover on the Indonesian local currency government bond …

Recent findings on the term structure of equity and bond yields pose serious challenges to existing models of … dynamics of equity and bond yields (and their yield spreads). The movements of equity and bond yields are driven mainly by … returns/yields and nominal bond returns/yields switched from positive to negative after the late 1990s, owing mainly to a …

Equilibrium bond-pricing models rely on inflation being bad news for future growth to generate upward-sloping nominal …

we label Convergence Gap (CG), contains information that is valuable for bond predictability. Adding CG in forecasting … regressions of bond excess returns significantly raises the R-squared, and restores countercyclical variation in bond risk premia … the path of rates, our factor has predictive ability for real bond excess returns. The importance of the gap remains …

future bond returns and fiscal balances …

curve. Most importantly, variation in yield skewness has substantial forecasting power for future bond excess returns, high …