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We provide a quantitative theory of deflation and secular stagnation. In our lifecycle framework, an aging population … puts persistent downward pressure on the price level, real interest rates, and output. A novel feature of our theory is …
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During the euro area (EA) sovereign debt crisis, lenders in financial markets raised default risk premiums on sovereign bonds issued by countries that were then consid-ered too risky. Among some of these countries (especially Greece), fiscal policy had not been implemented according to good...
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In the wake of rising inflation in the aftermath of unprecedented debt financed stimulus packages, we ask: Can governments use real bonds (TIPS) as part of their debt portfolio to commit to stable inflation rates? We propose a novel framework of optimal debt management in the presence of sticky...
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